Thorsten Meyer analyzes Jack Clark’s recent essay revealing a 60% chance of automated AI R&D by 2028, with a 40% chance of fundamental paradigm limits.
The Ghost Story Became a Forecast.
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Science & Discovery
75 posts
Rogue One: The Andor Cut — On Fan Editing as Tonal Reverse-Engineering
A fan editor releases ‘Rogue One: The Andor Cut,’ a restructured version of the film aligned with the tone of ‘Andor,’ sparking debate on tonal reverse-engineering.
The 2028 Model Lab Endgame: How Six Becomes Two, Three, or Twelve
By 2028, the landscape of Western frontier AI labs could consolidate into two, three, or twelve entities, driven by evolving forces and strategic choices.
This curved path helps prevent bullets from hitting each other’s primers during production
A new curved path mechanism in ammunition manufacturing helps prevent primers from hitting each other, reducing defects and safety risks.
What Makes a Scientific Idea Survive for Decades
Largely rooted in strong evidence and adaptability, a scientific idea endures over decades by withstanding scrutiny and evolving with new discoveries.
The Surprising Physics of Why Airplanes Stay Up
The surprising physics of why airplanes stay up reveals how science, not magic, creates lift, and understanding it unlocks fascinating insights into flight.
What Friction Really Does—and Why Life Would Be Impossible Without It
Nothing in daily life would function without friction, but have you ever wondered exactly how this invisible force shapes your every move?
Why Crystals Form in Such Perfect Shapes
Patterns of atomic repetition create perfect crystal shapes, and understanding how these internal structures influence external beauty reveals fascinating insights into crystal formation.
The Science of Measuring Things Too Small to See
Just when you think you’ve seen everything, discover how cutting-edge science reveals the hidden world beyond our sight.
Why Some Chemicals Glow in the Dark
Many chemicals glow in the dark due to trapped electrons releasing energy slowly, but the exact process depends on several intriguing factors.
